Contribute to the Project by identifying additional cases for consideration in Phase II, providing feedback on the current Case File, or offering other comments and suggestions.Review the list of potential additional cases under review for inclusion in Phase II of the Project, as well as the methodology used to compile the Case File.Thucydides, History of the Peloponnesian Warīelow, you can read our summaries of the sixteen cases in which a major ruling power has been challenged by a major rising power over the past 500 years. ![]() “It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable.” ![]() The Thucydides’s Trap Case File (below) presents summaries of all sixteen cases, which are featured in Graham Allison's new book Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap? Using the cases, Allison illustrates how tension between rising and ruling powers has often led to war-while also showing how war was avoided in the four rivalries that did not end in violence. Twelve of these sixteen rivalries ended in war. Reviewing the past five hundred years, the Harvard Thucydides’s Trap Project has identified sixteen cases in which a major rising power has threatened to displace a major ruling power. ![]()
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